According to the IPCC SSP scenarios, the global temperature should increase by between +1.4°C and +4.4°C by the end of the century. It depends directly on greenhouse gas emissions, in particular CO2.
If the most optimistic scenario seems to be unreachable, the objective is to stay under +2°C, in line with the Paris Agreement.
It is worth noting that we are currently on a +2.7°C trend (scenario SS2-4.5) and that the National Determined Contributions are not met, which makes predictions harder.
Since the pre-industrial era, the average temperature in France has increased by 1.5 °C. That is due to the fact that continents heat up faster than oceans and to the vulnerability of the Mediterranean Rim to climate change. The south, in particular the south-east, mountains and the Mediterranean area should be especially impacted.
According to a scientific study published in October 2022 in the review Earth System Dynamics, in a moderate emissions scenario (SSP2-4.5) corresponding to a global temperature of +2.7 °C at the end of the century, climate warming in France should reach about +4 °C at that time.
Whatever the scenario, climate warming in France will be higher than the global average.